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Post by sudog03 on Aug 8, 2023 19:18:28 GMT -5
Boone good coach. Gave up almost the identical yards per play (5.3) as we did in Billy D last season* (5.4). 3rd down conversion defense very similar as well. Difference? Only 6 turnovers all year in conference play last season. Just cannot beat yourself. Hope that trend continues. *league games only. I liked Billy D, but the comparison you make is between a 13th year DC and a first-year man. Some difference in total conference opponents' points, 221 to 184 last year. Absolutely. Much fewer shorter fields allowed through turnovers last season. My point was simply, you control what you can. Injuries and some other things you can't. Team that makes the fewest mistakes wins, Gen. Neyland.
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Post by Cujo on Aug 8, 2023 19:40:30 GMT -5
Good points all. Very realistic look at last season and this season. Unlike the idiocy (homerism) on the Furman board.
We made fewer mistakes. Efficient football. The qb valued the ball and the receivers made the catches. Fewer turnovers. Fewer penalties. Tackles made in the open field. Fewer offensive sacks. Execution. When you don’t beat yourself, you are hard to beat.
Make the other team run a lot of plays and they will eventually self-destruct. On offense, make big plays. Quick drives, means fewer chances for mistakes. Score points. If the defense could dominate and get off the field on 3d down, we could be special.
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Post by Cujo on Aug 9, 2023 20:34:45 GMT -5
WTF is this garbage? 39% chance against FU? Seriously? FU is overrated. 50/50 maybe, but not 61/39.
What’s up with the 51% with Mercer. 60/40 maybe, but not a toss up.
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Post by SU DOG on Aug 9, 2023 22:52:24 GMT -5
30.4% chance to make the Playoffs? Am I missing something here?
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Post by Cujo on Aug 10, 2023 5:16:18 GMT -5
With odds to win 9 of 11, the summary prediction is 7 wins? I think this is flawed data, or flawed data analysis. Either way, it’s nonsense. I guess Furman is so certain to win the conference that even with 9 wins predicted (unless 9 means 7), we stand little chance of winning the conference. Absurd conclusions.
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Post by Smurf on Aug 10, 2023 8:52:02 GMT -5
30.4% chance to make the Playoffs? Am I missing something here? Yeah, 9-2 (7-1) with the only two losses being to Furman and Auburn and yet you have a three in ten chance of making the playoffs? That's jacked up.
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